Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2150.711839 2336.347171 2524.802134 2730.149052 2947.303316 3169.820276 3414.772518
2025-02-16 1823.685310 2096.677362 2384.813234 2710.442477 3067.051904 3444.581170 3873.321982
2025-02-23 1645.952456 1973.275775 2328.691796 2740.909581 3203.443363 3704.080075 4284.538861
2025-03-02 1490.493205 1853.533809 2257.515448 2736.483263 3284.902483 3889.380157 4602.074570
2025-03-09 1391.334964 1786.267236 2235.127009 2777.330340 3408.745791 4115.206138 4959.585740
2025-03-16 1271.297534 1684.280412 2163.456025 2752.779095 3450.188287 4241.538042 5199.450158
2025-03-23 1212.843337 1650.505625 2167.272362 2812.436485 3586.118546 4474.150593 5560.174937
2025-03-30 1138.688436 1591.972833 2136.612469 2826.716179 3665.068875 4638.070155 5839.770542
2025-04-06 1066.654116 1531.237726 2099.018595 2828.757183 3726.241827 4778.831936 6090.848956
2025-04-13 962.459695 1423.411338 1997.541422 2747.113334 3681.457888 4789.748762 6184.903569
2025-04-20 942.244030 1423.115213 2030.073470 2831.175235 3839.007438 5043.719685 6570.421640
2025-04-27 907.827402 1401.740217 2033.873816 2877.646326 3949.258385 5240.317993 6887.569275
2025-05-04 852.866107 1350.818237 1998.331605 2873.728920 3997.398721 5363.104817 7118.746390
2025-05-11 794.701064 1292.545986 1950.659996 2852.087023 4021.731093 5455.931132 7313.550984
2025-05-18 761.445271 1267.067258 1944.926269 2883.713309 4112.916322 5631.281273 7610.211753
2025-05-25 717.357820 1223.769292 1913.091899 2879.121167 4156.227496 5746.073004 7831.778213
2025-06-01 693.006539 1207.603600 1917.163644 2921.493086 4259.934501 5936.904328 8148.821781
2025-06-08 647.233878 1157.511076 1872.225106 2896.026093 4273.557283 6012.751162 8321.421610
2025-06-15 633.213173 1154.054956 1891.883863 2957.904739 4402.067809 6235.287375 8679.739284
2025-06-22 605.097672 1127.692408 1877.913580 2972.714150 4467.616093 6377.099734 8936.395267
2025-06-29 574.822514 1096.427356 1855.590442 2974.830805 4515.426477 6495.720807 9163.741257
2025-07-06 521.055140 1025.379129 1772.974772 2890.148678 4444.159601 6458.155551 9189.889109
2025-07-13 519.131206 1037.202649 1812.003903 2977.338464 4606.464312 6726.014326 9610.033941